Latin America boasts great investment opportunities with attractive risk levels, higher returns than home markets, and access to a large population base with growing income. Foreign investors are no longer pursuing deals in Latin America because of a dearth of investment opportunity in their home country—now, it’s because the region is experiencing rapid consumer growth, urbanization, and digitization. In fact, returns from Latin American investments as measured by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index have long outperformed returns from emerging markets as a whole. However, Latin American acquisitions do require special attention and come with a number of difficulties unique to the region.
This article provides insights gleaned from over 15 years of my own experience in Latin America oil and gas M&A. The acquisitions were worth an average of $250 million and were based in countries ranging from Peru, Brazil, Guatemala, Venezuela, and Ecuador to Trinidad, Mexico, and Colombia. Below, you will find practical tips for foreign acquirers considering investments in Latin America. It is my hope that reading this article can help readers prevent or navigate a potential misstep.
Let’s begin with some potential difficulties encountered within the region, including access to accurate information, bureaucracy, and cultural differences. Many of these issues stem from the fact that Latin America is still an emerging market and there are associated issues with national governance, social instability, and risk of fiscal crises such as the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s.
In recent years, the Latin American region has made progress with regards to information access, including the enacting of the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) in 65% of LatAm countries. Since FOIA was enacted, countries have also been building infrastructure for managing information requests, with the Mexican and Chilean electronic platforms as models of doing so. The Mexican platform Infomex allows citizens to place information requests to federal and local agencies through this one platform.
However, transparency remains limited, with fragmented information making decision-making difficult. Generally speaking, in all of Latin America, property titles are public but availability is an issue, public credit rating of companies is not easy to obtain, and company accounts are an issue to obtain too, as are land and permits, sales by sector, labor, business environment, etc.
Processes, governance, and controls can be manual and inefficient, which can slow down acquisition progress and even discourage customers or decrease employee morale for target companies. For example, official government responses and negotiation with public servants can drag if there is no political will to accelerate progress. Due to increasingly stringent anti-corruption regulations, government decision-making can be protracted since public servants are fearful of breaking these complex laws.
Once, in Ecuador, I acted as a representative of a company looking to strike new licensing contracts with national oil company Petroamazonas. However, even the simplest of clauses (terms of payment, unit service prices, etc.) could not be agreed upon. The public servants exhibited strong hesitance to take the risk of agreeing to the most minimal of details. This reluctance eventually meant that the contracts were not signed with Petroamazonas and the projected increase in oil production was not achieved. Below is a chart from the World Bank Group indicating the relative ease of running and doing business in a country while complying with relevant regulations.
On a similar note, red tape and compliance with government requirements are notoriously burdensome, especially where tax, legal matters, permits, and environmental regulations are concerned. Operations might even be halted due to compliance issues. Once, we suffered in Peru when an oil company I was representing experienced delayed commencement of drilling for over three years because it required approvals from 15 Peruvian environmental regulatory government agencies. While these compliance requirements certainly improve safety and sustainability, they are often inflexible and difficult to navigate. According to a recent global study conducted by the TMF Group, Brazil was rated the most financially complex jurisdiction in the Americas and second in the world due to its 90+ taxes, duties, and contributions based on different federal, state and municipal taxes, as well as aggressive federal tax enforcement via SPED, its digital bookkeeping system. Similarly, Colombia is ranked as the second most complex in the Americas and sixth in the world. Colombia’s most recent tax reform of 2016 introduced a new withholding tax on dividends, increased the corporate tax rate, eliminated the income tax for equality, and added new measures to prevent tax evasion and tax avoidance. Colombian GAAP also transitioned to IFRS, which also adds to the complexity.
A lot can be lost in translation between the acquisition target employees and foreign managers sent to a Latin American company for due diligence or to run the acquired operation. For example, in Guatemala, a general manager sent from US headquarters perpetuated severe miscommunication issues and eventually laid off the original legal representative in a combative manner. The former legal representative ended up pursuing multi-million-dollar litigation claims against the acquired company, which endangered operations for the following three years. I was appointed legal representative of the Guatemalan subsidiary and managed to resolve these claims by reaching an amicable settlement with the previous legal representative for 1% of the total claimed amount. Since cultural differences can serve as unforeseen obstacles, the transition period after an acquisition is a sensitive time, especially if the acquired operation is a formerly family-run business.
Valuation methods utilized in Latin America M&A, including DCF, multiples on sales, and EBITDA multiples might need to incorporate a country risk premium in the valuation to reflect the incertitude of the particular country. When the discount rate increases, the calculated acquisition price decreases. It’s important to note that different countries within the region have unique attributes and their associated discount rates need to be adapted accordingly.
The DCF discount rate might be increased based on items such as the country’s risk, history of contract enforcement, changes in tax rates, and legal stability. It’s possible that the risk perception of the country is outweighed by the target country’s higher returns and the buyer might decide against penalizing the Latin American acquisition. Thus, it is recommended that a valuation expert make a checklist and weight each parameter of risk and positive competitive advantages of entering the country and assign an overall discount/premium to the Latin-American acquisition compared to home markets. The input for this valuation should derive from experts in their respective functions (operations, finance, tax, etc.) to determine the ultimate discount/premium. The overall risk perception and the final decision of the adjusted DCF discount rate also needs to have strong management support. The biggest concerns when investing in Latin America are indicated below, from a recent World Economic Forum study. Of course, however, Latin American countries each have their own idiosyncrasies and risks must be evaluated country by country.
For example, we were once evaluating Peru as a target country for an acquisition. The parent company used a 10% base rate to discount future cash flows generated by the target acquisition, political instability added 2%, and non-enforceability of contracts added 1%. We are at a 13% discount rate with respect to an acquisition in the home country. The risk of tax rate changes added 2.5% and the difficulty of managing operations in Peru added 2%, yielding a discount rate of 18%. However, management of the acquirer company evaluated that the high growth prospects of the Peruvian market deserved a reduction in the discount rate of 9%. Thus, the final discount rate of the acquisition to be applied would be 8.5%.
Multiples on sales and EBITDA multiples adjusted to different target countries’ acquisitions can follow the same logic to adjust the DCF discount rate. In the following chart, we break down the final DCF discount rate in the Peruvian acquisition into the risks and premiums of each parameter.
The key areas in the due diligence process are summarized below, including accounting and finances, taxes, operations, human resources, and legal considerations.
Due diligence in Latin America M&A needs to consider that risks are higher with respect to transactions in the USA or Western Europe. We list some points of attention in this area:
Latin America is a region with unusually cumbersome taxation and tax procedures. A high level of complexity can result from multiple tax laws overlapping on the same tax base. Tax risks for buyers entering Latin America can be from multiple sources, so the following questions should be considered:
Some actions for tax risk mitigation for the purchaser include guarantees, until the end of a statute of limitation, the use of escrow accounts to pass any cost incurred after the acquisition date to the seller, or simply factor the risk into the acquisition price. Another option is for the seller to be made responsible for the existing tax liabilities of the acquired company. In these situations, which apply in more than 50% of the cases I have participated in, legacy tax liabilities can last more than 15 years. On the flip side, if you’re the seller, you might want to lower your price and get rid of a potentially long-lasting issue.
In Ecuador, I once witnessed an M&A agreement indicate that all past tax liabilities would belong to the seller for 20 years. The seller eventually left Ecuador and lost contact with Ecuadorian tax law developments during these 20 years, leaving the local lawyers to take care of the tax court processes. It would have been simpler and less expensive to reduce the acquisition price rather than remain with the administrative burden to manage the tax appeals in court for 20 years.
In general, it’s helpful to consult at least two different external tax advisors. For example, in Ecuador and Guatemala, there isn’t much clarity around the deductibility of interests related to home office financing in the local subsidiary or the non-realized foreign exchange differences on the home offices financing when financing is made in a foreign currency. Though local tax legislation was not explicit, tax auditors were able to identify that the potential tax liability was huge. For particularly sensitive or complex tax issues, I’ve sought counsel from three external tax advisors.
When it comes to labor-related issues, there are a couple factors to be considered. For one, it’s important to understand the impact of trade unions’ negotiation power in the country and in the acquired company. In some cases, trade unions are so powerful that they jeopardize operations by paralyzing the company with strikes or simply making life difficult for company leadership. It’s also crucial to determine whether salaries are automatically adjusted to the foreign exchange USD variation with respect to local currency and if salaries are paid in local currency or in USD. If the target company’s revenues are based in USD, it would make sense to tie local salaries to USD. If not, local currency is preferable. However, we had one case in Peru, where salaries were originally in USD and changed to PEN local currency, as the PEN was appreciating, but revenues were based in USD. This led to losses due to the foreign exchange appreciation of PEN against USD of 20% of the total payroll costs of the company, (i.e., over $10 million).
Due to the political instability and changing regulation, legal, and compliance issues, doing business in Latin America M&A can easily become complex. Below are specific points to consider:
Bribery and anti-corruption are sensitive subjects in Latin America. In most cases, nothing arises from an audit, but the remaining instances could jeopardize the entire acquisition or even lead to penalties or pollution of the parent company’s reputation. Due diligence needs to be carried out on the full ownership and management of the seller, including all beneficial owners. Key customers and third-party intermediates also need to be identified and due diligence carried out on them and their relationships with government officials. Always request full disclosure of past or ongoing civil, criminal, and regulatory matters. According to the Transparency International’s 2017 survey of over 22,000 citizens in 20 Latin American and Caribbean countries, those in Venezuela, Chile, and Peru most believed that corruption had increased in their country.
It should be clear by now that strong, detailed due diligence is a key success factor in a Latin American M&A. Results from the due diligence process should always be incorporated into the final acquisition valuation before the sale and purchase agreement is signed.
Effective integration planning needs to be established as early as possible. And, the more detailed the integration planning is, the lower the risk that the acquisition ultimately becomes a failed operation. Due diligence and integration actions can be prepared simultaneously. In fact, it’s ideal if the experts participating in the due diligence process are also the ones conducting the integration planning. Effective integration planning includes everything from integrating IT and identifying key sources of value and choosing and cultivating one company culture to carefully selecting leadership. In Latin America M&A, this last point is especially crucial. Ideally, new management will include those who understand the local culture and language and can keep up morale amongst legacy employees.
Latin America is a region where a lot of interesting opportunities to acquire companies and expand activities can be found. However, as described in the article, the market is completely different than in fully developed markets such as North America or Western Europe. When companies expand in this region, they need to be aware that both language and cultural differences need to be addressed. While Latin American countries may appear to be westernized in many ways, conducting business is still different. The aid of experts exposed to Latin America business in acquisition processes and integration in this region will surely add value to the acquisition.
Disclosure: The views expressed in the article are purely those of the author. The author has not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report. Research should not be used or relied upon as investment advice.
New Posts
Compared to traditional financial services businesses, fintech startups require different valuation approaches. This article explores these...
Related posts
Entrepreneurs have been hardcoded to aim at billion-dollar sized markets with their solutions. However, such lucrative markets will appeal to many...
Raising startup capital in smaller cities is harder than in prominent areas, like Silicon Valley. Strategies for fundraising must be tweaked to...
LTV:CAC analysis is one of the most important exercises startup founders must go through to evaluate their business’ prospects and raise external...
A decidedly less sexy, albeit critical, part of a CFO’s job description is working capital management and optimization. There are countless examples...
Bankruptcy often presents an opportunity to purchase quality distressed assets at bargain prices. However, it also brings major challenges in terms of...
Companies, like castles, need a line of defense to repel the invaders" advances. Economic moats, taking a cue from their watery namesakes, are...
Finding out your return on investment from a project can become a subjective process with the myriad of returns measures and formulas that exist. This...
Leveraged buyouts are among the most mythical, and highly-touted transactions on Wall Street. Yet, their success is predicated on successful...
Raising money as a new private equity fund manager can be a daunting task. Breaking down the tasks into a checklist is an effective way of building a...
For a business manager, choosing what to invest in should not be an exercise of instinct. With capital budgeting methods, managers can appraise...
Xem thêm - nhà cái VNQ8