Financial due diligence (FDD) has become an integral part of the mergers and acquisitions landscape. This article targets business owners who are considering selling their business (or a part of it) within the next five years to help them potentially assess the readiness of their business through the key FDD questions. A buyer can also use the same information to identify red flags in a potential target. Please refer to the glossary at the end for terminology clarification.
We will go through a general questionnaire designed to help a potential seller to assess how ready their business is for FDD (and thus for a sale). This article is not a substitute for comprehensive, tailored financial diligence, nor is it meant as financial advice. The intention is to get the vendor’s management to start thinking about the sale process and share my experience with the FDD process. FDD is not an audit or assurance engagement and cannot guarantee full protection against outright fraud and management misrepresentation.
Are You Ready for Sale?
Think carefully about the seven questions below. Score each question as per the scoring guideline (a maximum of 10 points per question). If selling only a part of the business, consider the part as a “standalone” business:
1. Does the target have a strong finance director?
What is the key question?
How strong is the target’s finance team?
How does it help?
It demonstrates seriousness about numbers and signals the target management’s commitment to quality of accounts.
What do you mean by a “strong finance director”?
An experienced (at least five years) finance director, preferably a qualified accountant from a top accountancy firm/similar business.
Example
I worked on the FDD of a mid-sized business (business A) which did not have a finance director; the business had grown rapidly but the finance department had not kept pace. We faced great difficulty getting consistent sets of information, which translated into red flags (e.g., quality of data was labeled poor, leading to pressure on sellers to back up their numbers with legally binding management representations and clawback clauses). The business finally sold on a strategic basis, but not before the buyer extracted a significant discount (the cost of having a suitable finance team was put in as a Quality of Earnings adjustment and remedy clauses in the SPA).
Exceptions and remedies
If the target is very small and cannot afford the cost of a senior hire at the current state of development, it would help to at least have somebody on the team with a strong financial background for 2-3 years, hopefully through to the expected deal time, or hire experienced part-time consultants to help develop thinking about the sale, improving the quality of financial numbers, and preparing for the deal.
Scoring Guideline
Data | Points |
Target has had a strong finance director for more than three years. | 10 |
OR Target has regularly engaged external advisors to ensure high quality of numbers. | 8 |
OR Target has had a strong finance director for more than a year and engages external advisors now and then. | 6 |
Any other scenario | 0 |
2. What is the existing strength of finance data and the underlying systems?
What is the key question?
Is there enough good-quality data for advisors to form an opinion?
How does it help?
Lack of quality data will give buyers negotiation leverage and can even kill the deal. Conversely, good-quality data would strengthen the seller’s hand.
What do you mean by “strength of finance data”?
Consistent, meaningful, and relevant numbers in sufficient detail, backed by a robust IT system. For example, for a business dependent on traded commodities like metal, it is important that numbers demonstrate how the management deals with cost fluctuations or how effectively they are able to pass the costs to customers. The numbers need to talk to the sales pitch and help buyers understand the key risks.
Example
A small private equity business (business B), by virtue of having had deal experience before, had high-quality data available for the FDD advisors. This included detailed monthly numbers over the last three years, audited accounts, detailed breakdowns, and a meaningful reconciliation between management accounts and audited accounts. They were all extracted from an accounting software (vs. spreadsheets), which had tightly defined access to prevent any unwarranted manual override and thus ensured data accuracy and sourcing. This enabled us to rapidly close the engagement and come up with a clear (positive) view on the strength of data.
Exceptions and remedies
If ever there is an unavoidable choice between quality and quantity, choose quality - tight quarterly numbers are better than error-prone monthly ones.
Scoring Guideline
Data | Points |
Company accounts are prepared using an industry-standard software. | 1.5 points (zero if using only Excel) |
Audited accounts with unqualified opinion OR In case of a very small company, third-party reviewed accounts/VDD that give some comfort on the overall accuracy and completeness | 1 point if it exists and covers at least the last three years of numbers |
Detailed historical monthly P&L accounts OR Detailed historical quarterly P&L accounts | 0.5 points for each year (max 2 points) OR 0.25 points for each year (max 1 point) |
Detailed historical monthly working capital OR Detailed historical quarterly working capital | 0.5 points for every six months (max 2 points) OR 0.25 points for every six months (max 1 point) |
Detailed historical annual balance sheet | 0.5 points if available over three years |
Detailed historical annual cash flow that reconciles with P&L and balance sheet | 0.5 points if available over two years |
Clearly defined procedures for month-end, year-end, and audit | 0.5 points if defined |
Regular cash reconciliations | 0.5 points if available over the last one year |
Forecast/budget data | 0.5 points if available for at least one year |
Reconciliation of management accounts to audited accounts OR If no audited accounts, reconciliation between management accounts and any operational system used to create detailed schedules (e.g., CRM, warehousing software, etc.) | 0.5 points if it exists and works |
Detailed breakdowns of significant line items that reconcile to main accounts | 0.5 points if the management is confident about doing this for more than 50% of the line items |
3. How effectively does the current management monitor the target?
What is the key question?
What are the key drivers of the business? Consider the management information and the key performance indicators (KPIs) that the management uses to keep a handle on revenue, costs, profitability, cash, covenants, or working capital.
How does it help?
Effective monitoring systems would enable the management to easily deal with diligence questions.
What do you mean by “effective monitoring”?
An awareness of and the ability to explain key trends in the business (e.g., key cost challenges, what products are growing, etc.) and an awareness of the key risks (e.g., FX, raw materials, regulations, covenants). The presence of business intelligence systems would indicate proactive management.
Example
Business B management met monthly to discuss state of play and decide on the way forward. The CFO office was supported by a highly numerate team that used Tableau to visualize data in different ways and potentially identify any unexpected changes in numbers. Predictably, when the diligence team combed through the accounts, the management was comfortable and quick in explaining key trends.
Scoring Guideline
Data | Points |
Target prepares regular management reports that use clearly defined KPIs to measure progress/identify issues. | 2 |
Management can articulate the five biggest historical changes in the numbers and the reason behind those changes. | 2 |
Management meets at least once a month to discuss key business trends (excluding any emergency meetings held to solve a crisis). | 2 |
In the last one year, management engaged external consultants at least once to get a third-party perspective on key opportunities and threats in the target’s strategic space. | 2 |
Target uses business intelligence tools to effectively monitor changes in the business. | 2 |
4. How good are the business earnings?
What is the key question?
What is the correct number to use for valuation purposes?
How does it help?
One of the most common valuation techniques is agreeing on a price as a multiple of earnings. Depending on the stage of the business, this may be revenue or EBITDA. When this technique is used, the number used to drive the value is not reported, or even audited, but the number negotiated on the basis of the FDD. A $100,000 reduction in underlying earnings could result in a $1 million price reduction for a deal going at 10x earnings.
What do you mean by “good business earnings”?
Revenues and costs that are earned/incurred pursuing the defining commercial activity of the business, are not one-off, relate to the correct year, and are sustainable.
Example
A retail business that I diligenced had a sharp increase in sales in the current year, which was fuelled by an end-of-year scheme for suppliers encouraging them to buy a high amount of inventory upfront. This, however, effectively transferred the revenue from the following year to the current year as the suppliers would not purchase for longer than usual due to the high level of purchase (classic channel stuffing). The buyer successfully obtained a deduction to reflect the sustainable amount of revenue in the current year.
Exceptions and remedies
Businesses that are not valued on earnings or cash need not worry too much about this. This could include high-tech startups that primarily derive value from their patents, web startups valued on impressions/clicks/users, asset-heavy businesses where assets are more valuable than the income stream, or asset management businesses where assets under management may be key. The key thing to think about is what drives the valuation of the business. If it is not the revenue, cash, or the profit made by the business, it makes little sense to worry about earnings diligence. If your business falls in any of these categories, give yourself a score of 10.
Scoring Guideline
For each of the questions below score 1 if the answer is readily available or the target management is confident it can be prepared rapidly; 0.5 if you are not 100% sure but think you can do it with some effort; and 0 if it appears too hard with the current systems or is not available:
5. Can you articulate the underlying performance of the target beyond macro factors?
What is the key question?
Is business improvement driven by management competence or macro factors?
How does it help?
Everything is relative. A 10% growth in a sector growing by 20% is sub-optimal, but in a sector growing by 5% is phenomenal. This would have a direct bearing on the negotiation on multiples. The buyer would also like to understand how much of the performance is driven by currency rate, how effectively the business is able to pass through changes in raw material prices, and how such risks are managed.
Example
During the FDD on a large UK-based publishing business spread across 40 countries, my team discovered that the impressive business growth was largely driven by the significant devaluation of the British pound caused by the Brexit uncertainty. A constant currency analysis actually indicated a sub-optimal growth. This led to a reduction in both the number used to drive the valuation and the multiple offered.
Exceptions and remedies
Part of it is not applicable to small businesses dealing in a single currency and not into manufacturing.
Scoring Guideline
Data | Points |
The target management carried out a sector study (themselves or with the help of consultants) benchmarking the target performance against similar companies. | 2 if done, 0 otherwise |
Target management performs a constant currency analysis at least once a quarter and can clearly articulate (with analysis) the business-wide transaction exposure, translation exposure, forex hedging, and natural hedge. OR Business deals in a single currency | Constant currency analysis: 1 Transaction exposure: 1 Translation exposure: 1 Forex hedging: 1 Natural hedge: 1 OR 5 points |
Target management: - Can demonstrate success in passing volatile raw material cost fluctuations to customers - Can clearly articulate key exposures for the business - Has defined strategies for mitigation or substitution, which are reviewed periodically | Pass through analysis: 1 Key exposures sensitivity analysis: 1 Hedging/substitution strategies: 1 |
6. How sophisticated is the target’s Net Working Capital (NWC) management?
What is the key question?
Is the buyer getting a sufficiently capitalized business?
How does it help?
A deliberately undercapitalized target whose receivables and inventories have been run down while creditors stretched out would need a significant cash injection from the buyer. Any differences from a “normal” level of working capital would be deducted from the price.
Everybody knows what NWC is, right?
Deal working capital is not the same as regular working capital. Investopedia defines working capital as current assets less current liabilities. This includes cash. From deals point of view, working capital generally excludes all cash-like items and comprises SOFP balances directly related to running the business (e.g., trade debtors, trade creditors). As a rule of thumb, balance sheet items that would unwind above EBITDA would be considered NWC in the deals world.
Example
My team conducted diligence on the part of a large manufacturing company that the management wanted to carve out and sell. The management had not considered in detail how to delineate specific inventory, receivables, or payables related to the division so as to determine what comprised a normal level of working capital. This helped buyers to negotiate favorable adjustments for the level of NWC required.
Exceptions and remedies
Generally, there is no escaping NWC completely. However, depending on the type of business, certain categories could be less important than others (e.g., raw material and inventory would not be as important for a technology business but may be critical for a manufacturing business).
Scoring Guideline
Consider how easily the target can prepare the following 10 pieces of analysis (score 1 if it is readily available or you are confident can be prepared rapidly; 0.5 if you are not 100% sure but think you can do it with some effort; and 0 if it appears too hard or is not available):
7. How much net debt does the target hold?
What is the key question?
Will deal value cover net debt, and are there any nasty surprises?
How does it help?
Deals are often valued on a debt-free and cash-free basis so that the value of debt is taken off the final price, and the amount of cash is added. Additionally, it covers any potential off-balance sheet liabilities disclosed by management, tax advisors, legal advisors, pension advisors, and any regulatory bodies.
Everybody knows what debt is, right?
Again, deal net debt is NOT the same as regular net debt. Investopedia defines net debt as:
In the deals world, anything trade related will not be in net debt. Additionally, it would also consider any contingent liabilities and any major cash outflows post deal date. On the other hand, any cash deemed necessary for running the business (cash in tills, rent deposits) may be considered working capital. The rule of thumb is that if it will crystallize to cash (out or in) without significant hindrance, it is net debt.
Example
In 2018, Sports Direct bought House of Fraser. It looks like either their diligence team did not pick everything or they engaged in limited diligence and now face a £605-million bill from the Belgian tax authorities. Such items would typically be picked during tax diligence and flagged within a net debt analysis.
Exceptions and remedies
The analysis is of limited use for cash-rich companies with an immaterial level of debt. Nevertheless, I would not discount this analysis in most scenarios.
Scoring Guideline
Consider how easily the target can prepare the following 10 pieces of analysis (score 1 if it is readily available or you are confident it can be prepared rapidly; 0.5 if you are not 100% sure but think you can do it with some effort; and 0 if it appears too hard or is not available):
What’s in a Score?
If you scored above 50 points on the above FDD questions, super. The chances are you have a tight handle on the ship, understand transactions, and don’t even need any advice or help on the FDD front from experts such as Toptal’s.
If you were below 30 points, you would need to act fast if you hope to run a smooth sale process. Consider working on the highlighted questions, hiring a finance director with transactions experience, or engaging consultants to help articulate a tailored plan of action.
If you are between 30 and 50, I would advise you to carry on building on your existing progress or engage consultants to articulate a tailored plan of action.
Are We Done?
Up to you! I hope this article helped you consider how ready you are for a potential sale. For the more technically oriented heads who would like to further understand the rationale for the questions above and get into the nitty-gritties, we will delve into technical details in future articles.
Glossary:
Target: Business or part of a business being sold
Vendor: Entity selling the target: can be shareholders, management, administrators, etc.
Buyer: Company or entity trying to buy the target
VDD: Vendor due diligence: when the vendor conducts pre-emptive investment due diligence on target to ease the sale process. In this article, VDD refers to financial due diligence only.
SOFP: Statement of financial position/Balance sheet
P&L: Statement of comprehensive income/Income statement
SPA: Sale and purchase agreement: the actual legally binding agreement signed between the seller and the buyer
Key question: The potential buyer’s question you answer/understand for better deal value
New Posts
As consumers, we"re familiar with AI: we benefit from cars that parallel park themselves, devices that respond when asked questions, and streaming...
Related posts
The fitness industry is large, growing steadily and rapidly evolving. Since the 1980s, health club locations and memberships have more than tripled to...
Price elasticity theory was once the haunt of classical economists, with loose applications in the real world. Today, companies such as Uber, with its...
Warren Buffett’s reputation as an investor has become legendary. What can an individual investor learn from Warren Buffett’s investment style, his...
A fractional CFO is an experienced finance professional who brings extensive business management expertise to a company on a part-time or project...
The financial services industry is seeing a wave of innovation that is bringing with it new technology, but also a need to attract and develop talent...
Financial purists have long questioned whether corporate, environmental, and social initiatives benefit the bottom line and how to quantify their...
Total Addressable Market (TAM) sizing exercises have become very popular for assessing the potential of a business. TAM is, however, often...
When something is not right in a business, it can be confusing knowing where to start to fix it. Objective frameworks like issue trees, funnel...
Xem thêm - nhà cái VNQ8